Cambodia has experienced remarkable growth over the past decade, averaging 7%–8% per year, which led to its designation as a lower middle-income country in 2015. The country aims to achieve upper middle-income status by 2030 and high-income status by 2050, while preparing for its graduation from LDC status in 2029. This transition presents significant challenges for Cambodia’s growth trajectory.
As an LDC, Cambodia has benefited from trade preferences, such as the EU’s Generalized Scheme of Preferences and Everything But Arms scheme. However, upon graduating from LDC status, the country is expected to encounter difficulties due to the loss of preferential trade access and concessional financing. The export-driven growth model will be affected by the exit from the EU’s Everything But Arms scheme and the need for increased compliance with World Trade Organization regulations and Rules of Origin.
Key export sectors in Cambodia, such as garments, rice, and bicycles, will face increased tariffs and stricter Rules of Origin for the EU, UK, and Canada. The textile sector must comply with the EU’s double transformation rule to maintain its growth model. Additionally, the EU’s green trade standards promote environmental sustainability, covering product design, sourcing, chemical safety, and carbon emissions. Aligning with these standards is crucial for Cambodia to enhance its market access in the EU.